Originally Posted by TangoTango
Assuming we discount the longer range forecasts, is there a better source of forecasting over a 1 or 2 day period than MetCheck? If so what is it?
You should be able to get a reasonably accurate forecast up to three days in advance.
I use two main sources of information - BBC and ecmwf.int
The BBC is constrained politically, and it predicts the worst case scenario for one simple reason - in case of major storm. If you remember a few years ago, a major storm arrived with no warning because the forecasters new it was possible, but unlikely. There was political criticism and now the forecast has been changed to avoid this scenario ever happening again. Result, the BBC site is "pessimistic". However, the Atlantic pressure charts can be used (they're under the coast & sea section) as raw data, they only up to four days ahead.
ECMWF is a fantastic site - it's based on computer simulations from current observations and is usually very accurate. It's raw data though. Go to http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...deterministic/
and click on the thumbnail chart. Select the latest forecast base time. Look at the chart for next Monday. Book next Monday* off work, it's going to be great!
* That's Monday 21st July 2008 in case you read this post at some later date!