Originally Posted by Poly
You'd probably better stay locked in the house and die from depression or couch potato driven heart disease then!
No - I didn't say I can't balance risk and so can't leave the house, as you point out even that carries a risk. I said I'd want to know I'd done everything I could. Perhaps I should have caveated that with "reasonably" could.
...It is looking at how we train people to understand the limits of their craft, and themselves.
BUT that is WAY harder than it sounds. For numerous reasons:
- Craft abilities change in different conditions. Are you going to make people train in F1 - F8 winds?
- People abilities change with time and other factors (health, fatigue, drink & drugs). You can teach that abilities change but we've seen with car drivers that as people become older some will deny loosing those abilities. Plenty think alcohol/drugs doesn't affect them. Loads of new drivers think they should be allowed to drive a 3litre turbo on the day they pass their test - its only years later that many realise they didn't really have the skills to drive a 1 litre!
- A weather forecast today for F4-5 might actually only turn out to be F3 just touching F4, so if I cope in that next time its 4-5 I know I will cope fine... ...until it turns out to be F5-6 touching 7. Again you can teach what that means in a classroom - but you learn the realities on the water over time.
- Peer pressure. Possibly one of the real biggies and really hard to address. So you have got the whole family together, friend has brought her mate along for the weekend. Before you set off the weather looks OK. You drive for 3 hours to do your thing. Forecast has deteriorated, but it still looks OK at the moment. Having the 'balls' to say "sorry guys - we aren't going out" is REALLY tough. (God some people don't some to be able to tell their kids no more Coke or Sweets!) - I'm really not sure thats something that can be taught? Its something you learn...
Unfortunately unless you control the learning environment sometimes things will go tragically wrong while people are learning. (And we are all, always learning all the time).
Gonna be controversial and say maybe we should design out some of the risks. Is there a justifiable reason that a ski boat couldn't be built that could handle the sea conditions the accident happened in? Likewise is there a justifiable reason a bouyancy aid needs to have loops that can get caught on things. Is there a justifiable reason the cleat needs to be able to catch things? You wouldn't expect to buy a car that couldn't drive at 70MPH on UK roads. Why do we accept buying boats that can't handle fairly normal UK sea states?
You wouldn't accept a safety feature like an airbag that inflated and then stopped you getting out the car if it was on-fire. Or a car door that was likely to automatically lock its self if you crashed...
Possibly using ribs for powerboat training doesn't help that?
I'd bet these guys didn't train in a RIB.
Not many driving schools are teaching people in BMWs or Transit Vans... yet your licence lets you drive them.