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Do you know the engine RPM at the conditions you gave? Maybe someone has the same engine on the same boat who could give you an answer, but if not, a rough calculation of the anticipated result of a prop with different pitch could be made. Basically you use the prop shaft RPM and pitch of the prop in calculations and having a starting point of what the engine is doing now would allow a rough estimate of what a change in pitch would do.
It appears your engine is rated for 4,500 to 5,500 RPM with a lower unit gear ratio of 2.25:1.
Using 1 knot is 1.1508 MPH for the knot to MPH conversion.
Using the formula RPM x Ratio x Prop pitch divided by 1056 = MPH
Assuming that engine is turning 5,000 RPM with 10% prop slip.
The lower unit ratio is 1 divided by 2.25 or .4444
5,000 x .4444 x 12 divided by 1056 yields 25.25 MPH with no prop slip. Using 10% slip gives an estimated speed of 22.724 MPH. You reported 16.9 knots which is 19.45 MPH, so you may have a lower engine RPM than 5,000. You may actually need a lesser prop pitch to allow your engine to attain a higher RPM. That would provide more horsepower to possibly be developed.
You seem pretty close, but you really need to tach the engine.
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